CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12eba6dd52ed23d59a8f26abc340b7c03475759ae19e9d70a0f131082137492a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Phantom | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 29c | 429$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Phantom | 52c | 332.11$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 66c | 184.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Phantom | 61c | 170.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Leo Team | 51c | 135.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Leo Team | 12c | 124.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leo Team | 26c | 108.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 30c | 103.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Phantom | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Leo Team | 42c | 95.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 75c | 85.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 58c | 67.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Leo Team | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leo Team | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Leo Team | 50c | 33.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Leo Team | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 38c | 30.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leo Team | 40c | 28.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Phantom | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.