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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: ARETE vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO5) - VCL Korea: Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ONSIDE GAMINGof ARETE, ONSIDE GAMING
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e59…7b8bbacked ARETE12c615.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8229143.3%126 W · 165 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed ARETE25c500$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.532745.6%149 W · 178 L+52.5wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+39.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed ARETE5c419$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9323732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ONSIDE GAMING79c374.15$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1655142.3%233 W · 318 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked ARETE30c334.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked ONSIDE GAMING75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7517753.7%95 W · 82 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ARETE8c298.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341,28432.1%412 W · 872 L-67.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ONSIDE GAMING78c281.52$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.134443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6566…ea1ebacked ARETE15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ARETE21c201.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.297445.1%439 W · 535 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ONSIDE GAMING79c196.08$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.181,50346.5%699 W · 804 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked ARETE9c160$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1251744.7%231 W · 286 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ARETE19c153.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141,61945.1%730 W · 889 L-25.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked ARETE14c131$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.824233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed ONSIDE GAMING79c125.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.941163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed ARETE21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed ONSIDE GAMING74c112.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8922344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ARETE9c108.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2979044.3%350 W · 440 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed ONSIDE GAMING79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212842.9%12 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47e6…aea9backed ARETE23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ONSIDE GAMING77c95.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5260753.9%327 W · 280 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed ARETE12c90$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.613225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed ONSIDE GAMING73c85.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9141346.5%192 W · 221 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed ARETE13c82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6433838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked ARETE21c77.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8490244.3%400 W · 502 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd016…6114backed ARETE15c73.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked ARETE18c70.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.72825%7 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed ARETE21c65.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8219140.3%77 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ARETE20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8991833%303 W · 615 L-91.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed ONSIDE GAMING80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked ARETE29c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6412261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ONSIDE GAMING76c53.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0485338%324 W · 529 L-52.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ONSIDE GAMING76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1267750.4%341 W · 336 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed ONSIDE GAMING75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.57055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed ONSIDE GAMING73c47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.699737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked ONSIDE GAMING70c34.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3822539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3504…5bc2backed ONSIDE GAMING79c31.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e9…b2e0backed ONSIDE GAMING79c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.512479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked ONSIDE GAMING76c25.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1723644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29db…ff91backed ONSIDE GAMING78c20.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c83…0f34backed ONSIDE GAMING72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.