Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a11fce1a797bbd44ed74abe55caf706e77435a77a110b32a488c26fb91fdad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 27c | 2,303$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 72c | 2,195$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.62 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 74c | 1,800$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.08 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 26c | 1,634$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.85 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 76c | 1,277$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.79 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 379.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Over | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 55c | 303.71$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 21c | 205.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 54c | 195.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 51c | 188.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 44c | 161.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 53c | 142.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 71c | 124$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Over | 46c | 119.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 26c | 59.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 56c | 56.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 56c | 56.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 32c | 40.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Under | 55c | 31.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Over | 44c | 31.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…723bbacked Over | 76c | 21.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e80fbacked Over | 80c | 15.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5)Nova Esports won
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)Nova Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaNova Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.