Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ca7fa76426d128d4c9aaee3f6f3c19494f234943a2633a033925785b523ce41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 19c | 1,973$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.87 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 1,158$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 844.7$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 20c | 841.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 820.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 531.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 19c | 337.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 334.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 19c | 311.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 261.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 79c | 253.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Yes | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 187.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 78c | 161.69$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 19c | 131.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 77c | 130.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 23c | 130.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 12c | 86.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 78c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.