Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x760b3817fac6b8f3fe81860f10805a6bd08bb2489d1973dc482c0083b5c0b8d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 3,100$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 1c | 2,567$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,048$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 1,774$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 22c | 1,531$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.86 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 626$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 480$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 480$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 479.21$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 445.69$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 360$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 14c | 169.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 15c | 132$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 23c | 131.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 77c | 107.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…1878backed No | 79c | 105.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 104.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 104.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 79c | 98.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…4effbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 64.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 21c | 61.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 79c | 47.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 22c | 46.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 79c | 21.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 79c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.