TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOSof FURIA Esports, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc75a…1ab2backed FURIA Esports0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LOS50c12,531$6,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,257.181,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOS41c3,518$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.4690348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked FURIA Esports45c3,270$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.3411035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA Esports47c2,749$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.712,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed FURIA Esports47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports10c1,970$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.443,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed FURIA Esports48c1,834$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.8142050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA Esports54c1,722$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.592,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LOS38c1,586$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.121,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed FURIA Esports64c1,561$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9919053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked FURIA Esports49c1,500$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.5423751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked FURIA Esports4c1,431$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6029944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOS61c1,214$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.781,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports43c1,157$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.692,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LOS54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports59c987.8$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.81,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports59c906.31$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.721,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA Esports44c813.25$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.382,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed FURIA Esports64c793.11$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.592,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA Esports39c763.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1482044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…d3f1backed FURIA Esports45c759.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.392751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1139…3a92backed LOS66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.582759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed LOS34c754.7$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.649245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports59c750$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.585442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FURIA Esports62c700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4341,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports51c657.31$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.6874250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed FURIA Esports31c609.87$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5519948.2%96 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked LOS32c599.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.991,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked FURIA Esports48c522.13$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9919648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked FURIA Esports68c504.34$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3416759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked FURIA Esports10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOS78c441.46$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed FURIA Esports14c407.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6399338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…17e0backed FURIA Esports5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201097.3%8 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LOS62c322.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0357151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed FURIA Esports69c319.13$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA Esports54c302.57$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.391,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed LOS39c256.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.671,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked LOS41c244.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0512047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed FURIA Esports26c244$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.442124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed LOS71c236.09$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5169756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed LOS33c234.95$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.779935.4%35 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked FURIA Esports23c233$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.614032.1%45 W · 95 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked LOS45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2237633.5%126 W · 250 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed LOS46c217.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8664451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOS35c217.14$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1428042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed FURIA Esports47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked FURIA Esports47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018542.2%78 W · 107 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LOS60c210$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed LOS33c209.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.351,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed LOS64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7218149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked LOS56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2568557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked FURIA Esports8c198.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158236.6%30 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FURIA Esports7c185$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked LOS63c185$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4516349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed FURIA Esports9c180$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.236749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed FURIA Esports6c176.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4844129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed LOS58c173.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.530155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed FURIA Esports17c160$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.249739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed FURIA Esports23c159$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.962931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed FURIA Esports22c133$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7872637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed FURIA Esports48c125.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.395957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked FURIA Esports67c119$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7311161.3%68 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked FURIA Esports18c112.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6733124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e0b…d6c6backed FURIA Esports46c110.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.342055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed FURIA Esports14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1438743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed FURIA Esports59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed FURIA Esports14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked FURIA Esports44c90.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9718046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed FURIA Esports55c90.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x998f…9eb5backed FURIA Esports21c88.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked FURIA Esports50c87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.719556.8%54 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e3…b39ebacked FURIA Esports20c80.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168854.5%48 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LOS39c75.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.341,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed FURIA Esports37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7557222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed LOS62c74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd166…666ebacked FURIA Esports55c73.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406965.2%45 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed FURIA Esports48c70.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6974849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2367…93a1backed LOS63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed LOS40c66.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.171249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked FURIA Esports49c61.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.993850%19 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed FURIA Esports30c58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5843233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked FURIA Esports44c54.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.914731.9%15 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…747cbacked FURIA Esports55c54.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed FURIA Esports48c52.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FURIA Esports38c52.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.851,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8214…b43abacked FURIA Esports53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LOS40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3080150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked FURIA Esports62c48.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7819644.9%88 W · 108 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed FURIA Esports47c42.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.121,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed FURIA Esports27c41.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145841.5%190 W · 268 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed FURIA Esports49c40.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed LOS73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed FURIA Esports46c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.584047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed LOS59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.928855.9%161 W · 127 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed FURIA Esports47c32.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed FURIA Esports43c32.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9550549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed LOS55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.543947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked FURIA Esports47c26.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.495337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.