Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc575ab5f624ed00c06fcf7c9611c6f433cb94e8f4bcb2ad41109d34ef0846e79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof FURIA Esports, LOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ae…4385backed LOS | 55c | 3,187$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 3,007$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed FURIA Esports | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 805.36$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.26 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed LOS | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LOS | 53c | 286.47$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…aae4backed LOS | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked LOS | 56c | 163.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked FURIA Esports | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed LOS | 56c | 77.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…fad9backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed LOS | 59c | 72.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked LOS | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed LOS | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 36.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed LOS | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)this page
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOS won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.