CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502fabb63183e0b1a3167ddb301455dc1cc6671f1af7ad1e74ac5b788da0ebd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof ALKA, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALKA | 37c | 1,197$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.1 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 77c | 1,004$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.69 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…44a5backed ALKA | 24c | 808.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 511.85$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked ALKA | 53c | 509.17$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed METANOIA WOLVES | 74c | 440.49$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed ALKA | 26c | 288$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 272.65$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 71c | 257.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ALKA | 35c | 246.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 204.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 196.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 71c | 117.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed ALKA | 53c | 78.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed ALKA | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed METANOIA WOLVES | 77c | 63.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 704 | 32.1%226 W · 478 L | -45.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked ALKA | 53c | 55.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed ALKA | 30c | 50.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…29f0backed ALKA | 36c | 41.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 36.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ALKA | 34c | 36.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed METANOIA WOLVES | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 78c | 23.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed METANOIA WOLVES | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed METANOIA WOLVES | 77c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked ALKA | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 77c | 13.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.