Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86054584fcefcebf7184eb6ccd40ae2aea9bb8bd4959868affd58dee489937cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 55c | 624.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.52 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 43c | 437.9$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.26 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…610bbacked Yes | 46c | 364.81$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 26c | 342.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 20c | 215$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 47c | 213.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 59c | 195.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 42c | 176.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 173.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 43c | 165.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 64c | 156.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 45c | 149.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Yes | 45c | 142$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 61c | 137.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 13c | 118.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 116.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 11c | 110.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 60c | 99.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…5bc2backed Yes | 53c | 99.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 45c | 96.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…0acfbacked No | 42c | 89.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 87.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 47c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed Yes | 45c | 79.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 158 | 34.2%54 W · 104 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 36c | 77.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 42c | 71.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 55c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 48c | 70.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 55c | 68.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 62c | 68.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 54c | 66.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 58c | 65.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a43cbacked No | 48c | 62.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 49c | 61.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 47c | 59.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 54c | 59.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 57.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 61c | 56.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 39c | 54.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 53.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 54c | 53.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…b569backed No | 39c | 51.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 46c | 49.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ed…3242backed No | 43c | 47.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 57c | 44.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 51c | 42.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 40.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…8ad5backed Yes | 62c | 40.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e749backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…4351backed Yes | 40c | 39.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 38.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 41c | 36.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 46c | 34.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 70c | 32.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 51c | 31.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 44c | 31.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 44c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c4…8d5dbacked No | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 43c | 30.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 60c | 29.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5c…f7e9backed Yes | 44c | 29.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 48c | 27.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1717…1f7cbacked No | 55c | 27.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 58c | 26.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…ed2abacked Yes | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9571backed No | 62c | 25.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 211 | 73.5%155 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…6478backed No | 70c | 25.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 59c | 25.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 53c | 24.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…3300backed Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…385dbacked No | 59c | 23.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 60c | 23.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 57c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 56c | 19.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…da71backed Yes | 59c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked No | 56c | 17.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…9a1abacked Yes | 62c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.