Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x247c81312beea6701b88fbbc2fa79a1d6107091370f5777d7d993d0bb8021714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 66c | 5,861$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.66 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 48c | 2,301$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.6 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,368$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.21 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,240$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.36 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 1,065$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.81 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 43c | 736.37$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.25 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 48c | 659.78$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.35 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 49c | 438.02$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 50c | 353$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 67c | 277.64$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 275.2$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 50c | 241.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 55c | 238.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 205$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 45c | 152.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed No | 58c | 147.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 51c | 133.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 127.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 51c | 108.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…8ae7backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 48c | 93.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 88.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 31c | 81.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 47c | 81.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 74c | 72.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 55c | 71.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 30c | 67.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 42c | 65.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 41c | 63.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 245 | 31%76 W · 169 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 52c | 60.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 32c | 59.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 77c | 57.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 56.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…0b4ebacked No | 56c | 52.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 54c | 51.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 185 | 55.7%103 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 62c | 40.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…b2a6backed Yes | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked Yes | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…7a72backed Yes | 43c | 37.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 71c | 34.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 68c | 34.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…d2d9backed Yes | 53c | 33.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b4…624ebacked Yes | 49c | 30.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…db6bbacked Yes | 46c | 26.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…3277backed Yes | 46c | 26.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…84cdbacked No | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 22.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…83ccbacked No | 52c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc1…90cfbacked Yes | 57c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked Yes | 52c | 20.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…1316backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…a1f1backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…df40backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…28f8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…09abbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 161 | 61.5%99 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.