Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9039927176ebfd0da8609a028b4427c0f785cf835b71cde295b20b169b89de01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c95…8188backed No | 1c | 2,044$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.48 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.1 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 772.37$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.48 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 62c | 671$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.81 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 44c | 490.02$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.11 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 7c | 311.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.03 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 284.09$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 52c | 282.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 51c | 273.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 242.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 22c | 228.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 28c | 224.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 62c | 207$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 49c | 205$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 195.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 195.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…bf61backed No | 54c | 183.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 36c | 160$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 28c | 155.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed No | 30c | 153.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 46c | 145$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 144.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 47c | 139.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 32c | 135.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 37c | 135.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 128.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 26c | 128$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 126$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 55c | 120.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 31c | 112.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 50c | 109.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 108.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 50c | 107$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 52c | 107$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 52c | 94.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…96d5backed No | 31c | 91.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…72bcbacked No | 35c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 85.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 85.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 50c | 79.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 55c | 79.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 40c | 75.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed No | 20c | 73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 21c | 70.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 72c | 67.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 29c | 66.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 66.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…6734backed Yes | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 51c | 59.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…52a1backed Yes | 71c | 55.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 76c | 51.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 37c | 51.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…bcffbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…08d7backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…c62ebacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 61c | 49.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed No | 49c | 47.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…9f30backed Yes | 45c | 45.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…68cbbacked No | 51c | 44.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 76c | 43.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 40.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 73c | 37.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 45c | 37.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 51c | 36.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 43c | 33.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 60c | 25.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…37aebacked Yes | 50c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 23.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 80c | 22.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 76c | 20.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 55c | 20.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…6c36backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 72c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.