TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Georgia vs. Romania end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No50c9,506$4,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,765.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes31c4,839$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.7113544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No59c3,334$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.6520560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c3,124$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.142,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes52c3,043$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.097943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c3,007$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.561,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c2,473$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c2,217$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.514,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes29c1,946$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.8661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No53c1,613$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.741,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes21c1,544$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.5430431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes75c1,524$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5121048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecb…514cbacked Yes33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5cd9backed Yes51c1,329$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c1,254$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No29c1,248$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.446835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes42c1,199$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.3512248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes43c1,194$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.3993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7103554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7104839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes30c974.8$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.3676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c897.87$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes35c799.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52025954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes29c787$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.773,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c690.56$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c667.55$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.8455045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes40c658$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9815127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes20c599.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9937451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c598.02$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.43,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No65c593.72$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.9244435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c576.21$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes29c518.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9711135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.243735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes28c510$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.28549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No55c471.23$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes23c466.09$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes20c378.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.344211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No54c371.06$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0923940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes32c367.15$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8526534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No23c328.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5922226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes29c321.05$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.216839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc003…f609backed Yes67c308.37$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.19955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes30c300.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8341857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8121166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No69c298$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.625563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c7…5864backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe32d…a863backed No59c270$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.31833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No47c223.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9723345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes30c223$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1910539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes41c207.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5142048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes33c203.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.717148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No71c199.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No70c180$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No68c178$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.662,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c175.12$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1945947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6717835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Yes31c162.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.828644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2939648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1de0…a5adbacked Yes64c155.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes19c154.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.528626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Yes30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.51,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked No71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1076958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No39c149.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5924533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No33c145.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8130117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Yes47c144.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes54c143.68$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6811552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92c1…7185backed Yes52c141.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c134.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa9…f8a2backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No47c123.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3327538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No64c115$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6750833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac57…85c6backed Yes49c115$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes78c112.73$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4245039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes45c106$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1313231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac3…1347backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214223.9%34 W · 108 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No61c98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.781,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f87…fb71backed Yes29c93.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes37c91.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5733345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes28c88.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1529138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed No63c87.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.498543.5%37 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2166745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No31c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.466435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x475b…caf2backed Yes28c80$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63016.7%5 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-60.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes24c80$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.810436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c79.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c72.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.73,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No60c71.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.942,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb458…abc4backed Yes28c71.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.033112.9%4 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes28c70.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.210646.2%49 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.616549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6267…e1d4backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.