Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c38bd35d5649b476433b0157043248abfaaa9e8b4269456c9cf42858a2d7292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vekicof Bouzkova, Vekic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Bouzkova | 42c | 632.38$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.16 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Vekic | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Vekic | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bouzkova | 12c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Vekic | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Vekic | 59c | 70.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Vekic | 61c | 69.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Vekic | 65c | 63.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bouzkova | 36c | 49.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Vekic | 60c | 38.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Bouzkova | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Bouzkova | 36c | 29.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Vekic | 58c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Vekic | 66c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vekic | 64c | 16.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5)this page
- Bouzkova vs. Vekic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna VekicDonna Vekic won
- Marie Bouzkova vs. Donna Vekic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs VekicVekic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.