Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x172eccbbbd603ba85f546259849f370cc1e5117aff1b5efdb25ea25c3bdd6edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vekicof Bouzkova, Vekic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9d6…910dbacked Bouzkova | 1c | 5,695$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…ac9fbacked Bouzkova | 32c | 1,460$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vekic | 68c | 1,299$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bouzkova | 34c | 1,142$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Bouzkova | 46c | 613.02$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.78 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bouzkova | 37c | 472.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Bouzkova | 34c | 305$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Vekic | 64c | 304.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Vekic | 66c | 302.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Bouzkova | 71c | 141.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 71.6%199 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Bouzkova | 21c | 121.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…0fa4backed Bouzkova | 48c | 119.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bouzkova | 12c | 115.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Vekic | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Bouzkova | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Vekic | 63c | 75.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Bouzkova | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Bouzkova | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Bouzkova | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bouzkova | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Bouzkova | 48c | 49.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vekic | 53c | 45.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Bouzkova | 40c | 43.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Vekic | 55c | 32.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Vekic | 42c | 30.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vekic | 40c | 29.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Vekic | 53c | 27.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4877…718ebacked Bouzkova | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Vekic | 69c | 19.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Vekic | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekicthis page
- Bouzkova vs. Vekic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna VekicDonna Vekic won
- Marie Bouzkova vs. Donna Vekic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5)Vekic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.