Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab25550c2c0da2e12d2014aada086289b6f67368b20d7b5d49f1961b46300f43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bonziof Humbert, Bonzi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bonzi | 54c | 1,301$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Humbert | 42c | 967.78$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.47 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Humbert | 45c | 914.19$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.72 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9e…a396backed Humbert | 46c | 842.84$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Humbert | 41c | 632.47$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.31 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Bonzi | 59c | 607.47$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Humbert | 47c | 399.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Humbert | 4c | 343.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Humbert | 42c | 250.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Humbert | 19c | 249.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Bonzi | 56c | 247$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Humbert | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Bonzi | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Bonzi | 55c | 219.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Bonzi | 58c | 162.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Bonzi | 52c | 149.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Bonzi | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Humbert | 44c | 106$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Humbert | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bonzi | 75c | 88.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Bonzi | 56c | 86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…b5a8backed Bonzi | 58c | 85.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Humbert | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Bonzi | 58c | 68.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Bonzi | 55c | 64.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bonzi | 78c | 63.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Humbert | 42c | 58.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Humbert | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Bonzi | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Humbert | 47c | 41.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Humbert | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Bonzi | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Bonzi | 58c | 36.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Bonzi | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bonzi | 55c | 22.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5)this page
- Humbert vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin BonziBenjamin Bonzi won
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs BonziBonzi won
- Ugo Humbert vs. Benjamin Bonzi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.