Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7722a701c69ba7dafaa60b2ba18dd17c32121d752003f9ebb9886d42978ce67a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ugo Humbertof Ugo Humbert, Marin Cilic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Ugo Humbert | 54c | 91,872$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,872 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marin Cilic | 35c | 34,192$11,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,966.28 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marin Cilic | 44c | 21,324$9,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,351.72 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Marin Cilic | 48c | 20,981$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Marin Cilic | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.66 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Marin Cilic | 35c | 9,934$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Marin Cilic | 43c | 6,186$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.85 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Marin Cilic | 50c | 6,124$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.69 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Marin Cilic | 23c | 5,736$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.72 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Ugo Humbert | 57c | 4,444$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.92 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd6…1fa0backed Marin Cilic | 10c | 4,242$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ugo Humbert | 79c | 3,544$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.27 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Marin Cilic | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marin Cilic | 44c | 2,620$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marin Cilic | 13c | 2,535$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.93 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ugo Humbert | 67c | 2,337$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Ugo Humbert | 50c | 2,302$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.89 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Ugo Humbert | 56c | 2,273$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Ugo Humbert | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Marin Cilic | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…229ebacked Marin Cilic | 44c | 2,146$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.45 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marin Cilic | 47c | 2,107$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.83 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Marin Cilic | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Ugo Humbert | 48c | 2,031$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Marin Cilic | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Marin Cilic | 4c | 1,565$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Ugo Humbert | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.56 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Marin Cilic | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Marin Cilic | 46c | 1,070$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ugo Humbert | 56c | 1,067$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.55 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marin Cilic | 45c | 999.99$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.07 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Marin Cilic | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Marin Cilic | 47c | 989.7$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.16 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Ugo Humbert | 55c | 988$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Marin Cilic | 51c | 974.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Marin Cilic | 49c | 950.9$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.94 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Marin Cilic | 54c | 937.56$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.28 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ugo Humbert | 50c | 846$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Ugo Humbert | 59c | 844.13$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.04 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Marin Cilic | 18c | 799.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Ugo Humbert | 50c | 785.77$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.89 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd5…b065backed Marin Cilic | 44c | 778.33$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Ugo Humbert | 47c | 726.11$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.32 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marin Cilic | 44c | 678.68$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ugo Humbert | 64c | 609.72$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 605.53$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Ugo Humbert | 56c | 603.87$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Marin Cilic | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…c0c0backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 573.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Marin Cilic | 43c | 558.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Ugo Humbert | 50c | 553.24$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.62 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ugo Humbert | 55c | 546.38$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.87 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Ugo Humbert | 52c | 521.19$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ugo Humbert | 54c | 486$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Marin Cilic | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Marin Cilic | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Marin Cilic | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Marin Cilic | 46c | 434.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Marin Cilic | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ugo Humbert | 57c | 398.4$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.58 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marin Cilic | 21c | 393.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Ugo Humbert | 55c | 358.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Ugo Humbert | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Marin Cilic | 49c | 338.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 333.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Marin Cilic | 13c | 330.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marin Cilic | 47c | 319.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Ugo Humbert | 68c | 318.47$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Marin Cilic | 38c | 300.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Ugo Humbert | 64c | 298.44$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Marin Cilic | 5c | 272.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 26.8%33 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Ugo Humbert | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Marin Cilic | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 232.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ugo Humbert | 64c | 230.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Ugo Humbert | 54c | 230$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Marin Cilic | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Marin Cilic | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Ugo Humbert | 61c | 225.35$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Ugo Humbert | 49c | 217.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked Marin Cilic | 11c | 213.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Ugo Humbert | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ugo Humbert | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Ugo Humbert | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Marin Cilic | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Marin Cilic | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…3ad7backed Ugo Humbert | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Marin Cilic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Ugo Humbert | 55c | 184.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Marin Cilic | 60c | 183.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Marin Cilic | 41c | 179.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Marin Cilic | 52c | 179.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marin Cilic | 44c | 178.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Ugo Humbert | 48c | 176.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marin Cilic | 47c | 176.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Ugo Humbert | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Ugo Humbert | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…e925backed Marin Cilic | 46c | 174.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Ugo Humbert | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Ugo Humbert | 57c | 172.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs CilicHumbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.