Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafcf58081f62abbc39535ad88c8a1f38308c25af8c080b9fc974fb261fd526e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 72c | 12,354$8,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,893.36 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 5,234$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.65 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 4,801$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.97 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 4,564$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.81 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,121$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.92 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 3,054$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.36 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,969$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,810$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.15 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 1,461$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.52 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,097$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 677.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes | 59c | 611.84$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 33c | 547.42$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Yes | 39c | 514.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 71c | 423.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 76c | 378$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 75c | 264.44$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 262.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 36c | 257.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 69c | 255.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 72c | 241.14$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 44c | 236.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 29c | 204.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 143.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…6645backed Yes | 75c | 132.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 128$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 40c | 112.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 53c | 109$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 100.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 98.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 62c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 39c | 81.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 75.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 71c | 70.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…2fe5backed Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa830…66cabacked No | 71c | 53.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 71c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 45.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…8f79backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 56c | 36.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 57c | 34.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c5…4231backed No | 71c | 32.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 57c | 31.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 47c | 27.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…fda3backed No | 71c | 22.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.