Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76439fb316936dc37fd4a5e0060534d53fba90ba4676c92b88d185fa6ba8e454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof BetBoom Team, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 52c | 14,720$7,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.68 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team | 38c | 4,208$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.41 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team | 43c | 4,000$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.62 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 3,475$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.37 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 3,178$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.84 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 3,081$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.37 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 3,047$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.4 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked BetBoom Team | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.18 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.18 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Aurora | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed BetBoom Team | 21c | 750.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Aurora | 60c | 504.03$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 409.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 54c | 371.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.45 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team | 48c | 366.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora | 55c | 366.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Aurora | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 60c | 331.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team | 30c | 330.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Aurora | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857e…50adbacked BetBoom Team | 54c | 253.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Aurora | 50c | 200.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Aurora | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked BetBoom Team | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 195.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Aurora | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Aurora | 53c | 189.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 162.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 47c | 152$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…6d4bbacked BetBoom Team | 42c | 129.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BetBoom Team | 21c | 91.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora | 52c | 88.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45a…854bbacked BetBoom Team | 22c | 70.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 58.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Aurora | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Aurora | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked BetBoom Team | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Aurora | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Aurora | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc5…4e0cbacked Aurora | 50c | 48.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Aurora | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Aurora | 53c | 37.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Aurora | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked BetBoom Team | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Aurora | 53c | 28.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed BetBoom Team | 41c | 24.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Aurora | 49c | 22.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Aurora | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…b787backed Aurora | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…1dc4backed Aurora | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group AAurora won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.