Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e516495f19c2ebb54add2ecfe663afec7100d38a3e30b876dcb62354f9f4a6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof BetBoom Team, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 52c | 4,517$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.43 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team | 47c | 4,400$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.49 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Aurora | 56c | 3,820$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.5 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 3,156$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.38 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked Aurora | 78c | 2,932$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 53c | 2,800$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.05 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team | 41c | 2,732$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.58 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 1,750$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.27 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora | 59c | 1,688$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.14 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Aurora | 78c | 1,400$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 65c | 1,006$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.07 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed BetBoom Team | 22c | 1,003$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed BetBoom Team | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked BetBoom Team | 36c | 850$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 55c | 780$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Aurora | 55c | 760.98$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.18 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed BetBoom Team | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked BetBoom Team | 42c | 595.45$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.89 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 55c | 536.11$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.07 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed BetBoom Team | 41c | 517.55$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked BetBoom Team | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 484.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom Team | 3c | 437.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed BetBoom Team | 22c | 360$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora | 59c | 307.21$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Aurora | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…a5b6backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 291.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 54c | 283.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team | 12c | 268.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Aurora | 79c | 254.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BetBoom Team | 20c | 207.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked BetBoom Team | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed BetBoom Team | 33c | 175.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Aurora | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed BetBoom Team | 35c | 151.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed BetBoom Team | 18c | 133.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 110.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Aurora | 75c | 106.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team | 30c | 105.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed BetBoom Team | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Aurora | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 94.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Aurora | 49c | 88.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BetBoom Team | 16c | 87.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Aurora | 58c | 76.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Aurora | 47c | 70.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed BetBoom Team | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Aurora | 49c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Aurora | 60c | 62.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed BetBoom Team | 21c | 61.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Aurora | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Aurora | 49c | 54.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed BetBoom Team | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Aurora | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Aurora | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked BetBoom Team | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Aurora | 54c | 37.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…2814backed Aurora | 70c | 35.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Aurora | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Aurora | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe04a…9eb8backed BetBoom Team | 35c | 30.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 29.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Aurora | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed BetBoom Team | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Aurora | 56c | 26.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 23.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Aurora | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Aurora | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Aurora | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…3ac2backed Aurora | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group AAurora won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.