TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Morningstarof Rare Atom, Morningstar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…5977backed Rare Atom74c14,002$10,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,378.0457647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Morningstar24c4,726$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.8250833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Morningstar30c4,385$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.7945848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Morningstar27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x624f…7592backed Morningstar28c2,469$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x922d…29bbbacked Morningstar29c2,335$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Rare Atom43c2,200$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.0434147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2021…900cbacked Rare Atom72c1,909$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rare Atom60c1,907$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1432,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…23f7backed Rare Atom51c1,608$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a66…f4c4backed Rare Atom71c1,394$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Rare Atom1c1,368$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a6…3152backed Morningstar28c1,320$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2d…6ae3backed Rare Atom41c1,256$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.822540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a80…87d7backed Rare Atom72c1,202$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Rare Atom1c1,200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53619.4%7 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+178.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Rare Atom69c1,116$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked Rare Atom1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.291612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x647e…92f5backed Morningstar29c956$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…ae5ebacked Rare Atom71c941$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Rare Atom52c889.62$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3892152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Morningstar34c822.29$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.2248941.9%205 W · 284 L-14.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea66…3439backed Morningstar16c817$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.285100%5 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+237.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Rare Atom1c800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69776.5%5 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Morningstar30c666.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.4152936.3%192 W · 337 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Morningstar47c641.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0118336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Morningstar28c615.25$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Morningstar30c583.2$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.952846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef7…9da3backed Rare Atom71c571$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911d…9886backed Rare Atom72c560$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Rare Atom71c501.04$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7410445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Morningstar28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36010442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee3…023abacked Rare Atom74c405.21$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe523…9b1fbacked Rare Atom71c385$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Rare Atom73c372.54$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Morningstar19c356.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.471957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Morningstar20c350$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28017247.7%82 W · 90 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Morningstar63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.464753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Morningstar26c303$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.991,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Rare Atom66c301.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20061854.9%339 W · 279 L-18.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Morningstar34c295$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.855350.9%27 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…230ebacked Morningstar20c293.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x719e…0a21backed Morningstar16c272$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Rare Atom74c250.66$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Morningstar17c235.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2942638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea72…16a2backed Morningstar16c235$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+139.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Morningstar60c231.67$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6724038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Morningstar58c229.31$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3122942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Rare Atom75c225.08$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8146343.2%200 W · 263 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Morningstar30c198.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.261,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Morningstar47c198.59$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.593357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Rare Atom53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Rare Atom67c183.88$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12418443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Rare Atom55c183.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Morningstar55c182.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.732650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Morningstar47c170.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.219433%31 W · 63 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6b6…8b85backed Rare Atom62c161.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Rare Atom62c161.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Rare Atom49c161.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3978348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Rare Atom58c149.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.191050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Morningstar34c147.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.315973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Morningstar39c139.28$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Rare Atom72c139.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008974.2%66 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb33…0acbbacked Rare Atom72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014951.7%77 W · 72 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed Rare Atom49c127$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.174250%21 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Morningstar36c124.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.396621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0068…12d2backed Rare Atom72c118$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.96520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Morningstar47c105.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.142944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a7…add9backed Morningstar27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa226…5092backed Morningstar30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706927.5%19 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Morningstar52c96.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.119755.7%54 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a60…a571backed Morningstar15c91.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.073925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Morningstar29c88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6821139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Rare Atom59c73.36$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320052.5%105 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Morningstar52c64.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.142040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Morningstar20c62.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.719147.3%43 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Morningstar28c62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.643644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Morningstar26c61.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.96837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked Rare Atom66c59.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.593151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Rare Atom60c59.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366657.6%38 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Rare Atom69c58.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.26746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7378…2abfbacked Rare Atom55c50.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Morningstar58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Morningstar30c49.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9829350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Morningstar37c49.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2511450.9%58 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef09…07f4backed Rare Atom54c46.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa67d…a852backed Rare Atom50c44.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.342157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…1208backed Morningstar27c40.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.745843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Morningstar29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.495642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2f…409fbacked Rare Atom73c32.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.48366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7a…e15abacked Morningstar38c31.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+159.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Rare Atom56c26.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8f…29b9backed Rare Atom46c25.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.872552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3214…4cf1backed Rare Atom49c24.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37db…dff4backed Rare Atom53c24.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6f…778fbacked Rare Atom74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155855.2%32 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa2…0cacbacked Morningstar53c19.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba9…2ccabacked Rare Atom73c16.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aab…685dbacked Rare Atom70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.