CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x385131659433f18f9ff1134a66e37b59623ca2a7a66777abb582d5a730e3df18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morningstarof Rare Atom, Morningstar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Rare Atom | 74c | 14,002$10,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,378.04 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Morningstar | 24c | 4,726$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.82 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Morningstar | 30c | 4,385$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.79 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Morningstar | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…7592backed Morningstar | 28c | 2,469$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…29bbbacked Morningstar | 29c | 2,335$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Rare Atom | 43c | 2,200$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.04 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…900cbacked Rare Atom | 72c | 1,909$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rare Atom | 60c | 1,907$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…23f7backed Rare Atom | 51c | 1,608$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…f4c4backed Rare Atom | 71c | 1,394$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Rare Atom | 1c | 1,368$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…3152backed Morningstar | 28c | 1,320$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed Rare Atom | 41c | 1,256$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…87d7backed Rare Atom | 72c | 1,202$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Rare Atom | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Rare Atom | 69c | 1,116$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Rare Atom | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…92f5backed Morningstar | 29c | 956$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…ae5ebacked Rare Atom | 71c | 941$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Rare Atom | 52c | 889.62$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.38 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Morningstar | 34c | 822.29$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.22 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…3439backed Morningstar | 16c | 817$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Rare Atom | 1c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Morningstar | 30c | 666.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.41 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Morningstar | 47c | 641.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.01 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Morningstar | 28c | 615.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Morningstar | 30c | 583.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…9da3backed Rare Atom | 71c | 571$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…9886backed Rare Atom | 72c | 560$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Rare Atom | 71c | 501.04$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Morningstar | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…023abacked Rare Atom | 74c | 405.21$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…9b1fbacked Rare Atom | 71c | 385$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Rare Atom | 73c | 372.54$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Morningstar | 19c | 356.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Morningstar | 20c | 350$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Morningstar | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Morningstar | 26c | 303$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Rare Atom | 66c | 301.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 618 | 54.9%339 W · 279 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Morningstar | 34c | 295$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.85 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked Morningstar | 20c | 293.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719e…0a21backed Morningstar | 16c | 272$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Rare Atom | 74c | 250.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.49 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Morningstar | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…16a2backed Morningstar | 16c | 235$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Morningstar | 60c | 231.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Morningstar | 58c | 229.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Rare Atom | 75c | 225.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.81 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Morningstar | 30c | 198.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Morningstar | 47c | 198.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Rare Atom | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Rare Atom | 67c | 183.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Rare Atom | 55c | 183.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Morningstar | 55c | 182.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Morningstar | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…8b85backed Rare Atom | 62c | 161.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Rare Atom | 62c | 161.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Rare Atom | 49c | 161.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Rare Atom | 58c | 149.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Morningstar | 34c | 147.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Morningstar | 39c | 139.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Rare Atom | 72c | 139.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Rare Atom | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed Rare Atom | 49c | 127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Morningstar | 36c | 124.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…12d2backed Rare Atom | 72c | 118$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Morningstar | 47c | 105.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…add9backed Morningstar | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Morningstar | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Morningstar | 52c | 96.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed Morningstar | 15c | 91.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Morningstar | 29c | 88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Rare Atom | 59c | 73.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Morningstar | 52c | 64.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Morningstar | 20c | 62.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Morningstar | 28c | 62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Morningstar | 26c | 61.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Rare Atom | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Rare Atom | 60c | 59.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Rare Atom | 69c | 58.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7378…2abfbacked Rare Atom | 55c | 50.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Morningstar | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Morningstar | 30c | 49.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Morningstar | 37c | 49.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef09…07f4backed Rare Atom | 54c | 46.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Rare Atom | 50c | 44.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Morningstar | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Morningstar | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2f…409fbacked Rare Atom | 73c | 32.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…e15abacked Morningstar | 38c | 31.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Rare Atom | 56c | 26.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed Rare Atom | 46c | 25.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…4cf1backed Rare Atom | 49c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed Rare Atom | 53c | 24.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Rare Atom | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…0cacbacked Morningstar | 53c | 19.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked Rare Atom | 73c | 16.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…685dbacked Rare Atom | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar - Map 2 WinnerRare Atom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.