CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Truck Drivers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74cd516513ecab3b67651f37c3ccd5e6e6fd9da76e0fab754eb26b51973e013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestigeof Prestige, Truck Drivers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Prestige | 72c | 21,606$15,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.88 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Truck Drivers | 25c | 9,886$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.73 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Truck Drivers | 29c | 8,115$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Truck Drivers | 0c | 7,424$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Truck Drivers | 27c | 2,762$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.77 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Truck Drivers | 27c | 1,443$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.61 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Truck Drivers | 23c | 1,433$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Prestige | 76c | 1,206$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.51 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Truck Drivers | 31c | 1,097$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Truck Drivers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Truck Drivers | 24c | 951.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…fcb5backed Truck Drivers | 28c | 888.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Truck Drivers | 27c | 804.44$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked Truck Drivers | 32c | 683.63$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Truck Drivers | 27c | 672.7$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Truck Drivers | 25c | 644$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Prestige | 71c | 602$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.58 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Truck Drivers | 19c | 548$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Truck Drivers | 6c | 500.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Truck Drivers | 11c | 444.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Truck Drivers | 31c | 440$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Truck Drivers | 8c | 427.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Prestige | 66c | 333.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Truck Drivers | 23c | 330.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Truck Drivers | 32c | 214.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Truck Drivers | 27c | 212.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Truck Drivers | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Prestige | 78c | 192.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Truck Drivers | 18c | 169.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Truck Drivers | 28c | 161$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Truck Drivers | 23c | 157$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Truck Drivers | 12c | 155.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Truck Drivers | 24c | 102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Truck Drivers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Truck Drivers | 23c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Truck Drivers | 23c | 87.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Prestige | 77c | 85.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Truck Drivers | 18c | 83.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Truck Drivers | 24c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Prestige | 73c | 68.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Prestige | 71c | 66.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Prestige | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Prestige | 73c | 57.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Truck Drivers | 29c | 55.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Prestige | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Prestige | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Prestige | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Prestige | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Prestige | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Prestige | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked Prestige | 78c | 38.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Prestige | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Prestige | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Prestige | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Prestige | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Prestige | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Prestige | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Prestige | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Prestige | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Prestige | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Prestige | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Prestige | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Prestige | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Prestige | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Prestige | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Prestige | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db5…701ebacked Prestige | 76c | 13.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdceb…b53dbacked Prestige | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Truck Drivers (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Truck Drivers - Map 2 WinnerPrestige won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.