CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs ALGO Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96965a9076c221a8aebf3e09f5d5e7a5667ae8d24c5ebc07ac432c7592dda200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALGO Esportsof OlyBet SB, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ALGO Esports | 45c | 1,427$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.8 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed OlyBet SB | 4c | 1,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked OlyBet SB | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked OlyBet SB | 55c | 546$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed ALGO Esports | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed OlyBet SB | 40c | 495$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…d16abacked ALGO Esports | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed ALGO Esports | 64c | 271.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed OlyBet SB | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ALGO Esports | 50c | 73.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked ALGO Esports | 59c | 33.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed ALGO Esports | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked ALGO Esports | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed ALGO Esports | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked OlyBet SB | 44c | 27.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs ALGO Esports (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 WinnerALGO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.