Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb4a5194b8b81a4f2a05e609568efeb06ec3c494933c1eec4c962b45b8bdfcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 6,558$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 58c | 1,715$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.94 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 49c | 1,309$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.86 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Yes | 52c | 775.54$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 70c | 590.46$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 11c | 499.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.82 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 408.52$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 78c | 350.51$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 37c | 219.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 57c | 195.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 177.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes | 55c | 171.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 171.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 149.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.13 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 39c | 146.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…4b94backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 62c | 117.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 63c | 86.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 51c | 80.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed No | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…c805backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…a1abbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…ecf9backed Yes | 57c | 36.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 64c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked Yes | 72c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?No won
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.