TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Devils, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils52c12,024$6,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,288.521,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils29c9,873$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,873.583,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Devils52c9,026$4,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,693.6738748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Devils52c5,221$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.6466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Devils52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Flyers47c4,121$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.9228353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils1c2,999$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.667450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Flyers48c2,496$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.411,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Devils52c2,215$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.1762249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Devils52c2,085$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08414148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flyers42c1,903$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.322,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Flyers49c1,530$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.315954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed Devils5c1,398$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.871915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Flyers50c1,287$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.9827143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flyers41c1,233$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.322,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Flyers48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.9827150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Flyers47c1,111$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.8389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57268449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed Devils52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers48c933.95$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.571,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42dd…2d1dbacked Flyers48c850$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd6…25c5backed Devils53c840$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfc9…0b56backed Devils53c810$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.32740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda74…0aa3backed Flyers48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Devils53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers47c749.96$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.481,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers48c652$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.291,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Devils4c557.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.71421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Flyers47c525$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Flyers47c523.4$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.430152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Flyers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26511253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Flyers47c499.93$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9621147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Flyers48c485.42$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4219851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Devils11c450$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Devils8c418$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0416235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81d4…0c51backed Devils52c409.93$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Devils52c405$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.61,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…d183backed Flyers48c369.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b9…c5e3backed Devils52c357.69$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870b…2181backed Flyers49c357.55$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.351471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Flyers48c310.52$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4716750.9%85 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Devils51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15338857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Devils54c275.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7411849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Devils51c250.59$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Flyers45c249.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x472d…43b7backed Devils9c232.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Flyers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Flyers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Devils7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414220.4%29 W · 113 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Flyers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10236652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2764…bcd7backed Flyers48c174.44$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.712060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x985c…d03cbacked Devils53c167.08$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.551855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Flyers48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6769142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Devils9c160.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6233735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Flyers37c147$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Flyers48c141.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8248452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed Devils8c140.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111713.7%16 W · 101 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe931…3170backed Devils52c139.48$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed Devils27c132.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0810652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b1…d58ebacked Flyers48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+61%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x456b…a6e2backed Devils52c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Flyers49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4578443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Flyers48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.179758.8%57 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb05c…cba1backed Flyers49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0413941.7%58 W · 81 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Flyers49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Flyers74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Devils62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6222443.3%97 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed Flyers38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6214053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Flyers49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5134653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Devils18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Flyers49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a02…0ef4backed Flyers48c96.06$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.951250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacfd…b36cbacked Devils53c94.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.861553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Devils31c91.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Devils53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.79850%49 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ac…f93dbacked Devils53c89.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.211758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c5…21aabacked Devils52c84.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.043141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Flyers48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1637649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Devils53c73.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3972448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf4c…f9bfbacked Flyers48c68.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers42c66.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Devils52c63.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9739757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Flyers48c62.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3310236.3%37 W · 65 L-11.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfa5…3590backed Flyers49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Devils52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Devils52c53.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2879956.1%448 W · 351 L-2.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa37b…cabbbacked Flyers49c53.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Devils52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c4…909dbacked Devils54c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6820653.4%110 W · 96 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Devils55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513751.1%70 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5666…c1cdbacked Devils53c41.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Flyers49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8265345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Devils49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.623249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Devils52c39.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7930845.8%141 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Flyers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Devils52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x497f…da80backed Devils52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.