CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ALGO Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9eeb18cadc1e9065414463a34a4f306a139fdbcc07d6fe6de76a55bc9f0930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked ALGO Esports | 59c | 1,150$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.58 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked ALGO Esports | 69c | 836.01$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.75 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed ALGO Esports | 5c | 816.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 683.97$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.47 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ALGO Esports | 12c | 436.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed ALGO Esports | 52c | 425.17$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 410$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed ALGO Esports | 39c | 204.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed ALGO Esports | 36c | 154.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 107.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked ALGO Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 84.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…294abacked ALGO Esports | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked ALGO Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ALGO Esports (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.