Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f948113b692fd783af67282d8ea4128a94304b40825102dd3a312eeab412c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked No | 72c | 1,784$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 1,583$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.66 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 1,368$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.5 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 879.93$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.37 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 73c | 684$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 20c | 582$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 26c | 506.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 29c | 454.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 378.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 77c | 287.23$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 23c | 282.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 78c | 254.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 186$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 22c | 139.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 28c | 72.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 77c | 55.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 75c | 54.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 30c | 42.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 77c | 24.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.