Australian A League · resolved market
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0443c644c8a3ba2ea53816a2e3014d316a11eed03a5f07a66ec23e16edd346a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 53c | 5,139$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 3,255$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.24 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 3,132$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.56 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 50c | 2,794$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 1,262$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.72 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 1,129$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.04 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.97 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef3…adaebacked Yes | 59c | 744.9$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 52c | 523.21$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.14 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 492$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.08 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 452.02$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.63 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 42c | 391.61$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 31c | 299.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 235.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 63c | 233.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 225.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 50c | 194.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Yes | 63c | 179.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 38c | 117.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked No | 38c | 100.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 52c | 95.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Yes | 60c | 91.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…676fbacked Yes | 61c | 91.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 24c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 59c | 83.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 83.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 42c | 66.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 19c | 65.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 23c | 65.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 47.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 50c | 43.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 39c | 42.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 64cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 61c | 33.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 67c | 20.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…dc9ebacked Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.