Australian A League · resolved market
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x312ea18ab2587c1cdb41acfa32ce99790088af48f7098451fad985b47eb1228a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 77c | 8,974$6,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.14 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 4,195$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.07 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 2,762$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.3 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Over | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 1,900$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 44c | 1,717$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 64cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 42c | 1,402$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 24c | 1,291$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 1,261$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.66 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 24c | 1,193$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 1,034$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.44 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 66c | 1,021$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.69 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 24c | 852.08$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 33c | 818.98$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 62c | 811.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.71 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 23c | 783.18$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 61c | 643.59$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 13c | 478.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 23c | 428.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 417.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 69c | 318$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 23c | 299.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 37c | 207.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 19c | 163.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 35c | 151.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 20c | 138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 19c | 113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +83%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 71c | 93.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked Over | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Under | 19c | 77.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 24c | 77.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Under | 19c | 64.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Under | 19c | 64.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ba…2cf3backed Over | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 79c | 43.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…fe8cbacked Over | 80c | 41.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 39.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 36c | 31.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 36c | 30.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 77c | 26.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 64c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 75c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.