Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x311bf70a408561ea876365379dec38f845a7105ebf391c39b363d761c5adfa9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 6,581$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.55 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 28c | 3,572$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 61c | 2,642$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.47 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 2,250$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.67 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 2,116$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.26 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 2,010$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.85 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 27c | 1,458$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 971.44$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.05 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 60c | 965$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 61c | 833.33$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 29c | 814.49$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 30c | 728.93$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 25c | 575.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.66 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 31c | 449$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.56 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 405$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 27c | 374.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 346.84$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 342.72$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.03 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 294.77$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 253.72$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…7af0backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 36c | 158.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…135abacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 15c | 117.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…0c50backed No | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 109$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…3133backed No | 73c | 106.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…a154backed No | 73c | 104.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…3156backed Yes | 76c | 102.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 27c | 101.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…05c8backed No | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390b…78ccbacked No | 73c | 98.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…c2a1backed No | 73c | 93.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a8…c498backed No | 73c | 90.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 54c | 89.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 50c | 82.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 27c | 64.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 65c | 50.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 61c | 50.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…dd15backed Yes | 28c | 39.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 34.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 75cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…0c80backed Yes | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 75c | 13.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?this page
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.