Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45bc4064a7106747d47bff6d586f211201f0a9245e4a447843bc5c0da8a24b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 54c | 10,809$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,836.87 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 9,151$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.48 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 7,346$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.42 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 4,516$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.94 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 3,500$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 25c | 3,100$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a2…f8ecbacked Yes | 2c | 2,056$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,050$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 1,678$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.15 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 27c | 1,610$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.7 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 46c | 1,353$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.8 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 1,038$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.93 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 21c | 999.25$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 61c | 800$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 26c | 769.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 26c | 735.66$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 74c | 640$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 591.92$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.64 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 29c | 528.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 515$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Yes | 24c | 418.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 24c | 306.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed No | 46c | 284.91$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 50c | 258.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 251.18$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes | 24c | 234.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 36c | 177.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 36c | 172.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 161.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 75c | 152.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 35c | 141.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 76c | 101$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d732backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…c0d1backed No | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 28c | 85.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 57c | 83.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 24c | 82.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 70c | 82.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…48aabacked Yes | 36c | 68.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 40c | 55.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 75c | 47.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 40c | 45.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 65c | 28.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…984abacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…0c33backed Yes | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 75c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Rangers FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.