Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x677c5ac9eda2910326abde9bc715c6aaec3b186df8f040fe4b2da4e3aa3f9654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 5,608$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.22 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 2,596$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.69 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 80c | 1,330$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.07 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 79c | 1,077$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.63 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 1,034$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 792.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…c630backed No | 72c | 650$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…1cb5backed No | 72c | 611.11$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 607.86$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.21 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 405$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 332.1$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 70c | 311.66$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 72c | 278.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 276.89$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.59 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 71c | 211$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 176.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…e03bbacked No | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 19c | 92.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ef…dbeebacked No | 72c | 83.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…6511backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed No | 71c | 73.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 71c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…ef29backed No | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…47bcbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Yes | 73c | 19.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 67c | 16.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.