South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4702d0863f9488c6223e456cbc9a3b5ad35772e466575de5684242fbe002acd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 38c | 14,409$5,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475.58 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 2,127$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.36 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 42c | 1,217$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.15 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c165backed Yes | 44c | 1,135$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 44c | 1,131$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 1,088$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…a1e7backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 510.75$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.38 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…d919backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 57c | 362.9$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 335.35$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 304$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…41ddbacked Yes | 45c | 291.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 286.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 61c | 211.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 42c | 174.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 165$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 40c | 162.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 57c | 141.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 57c | 119$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 45c | 112.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 44c | 90.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 83.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 57c | 65.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…c921backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…bbdfbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…9a37backed Yes | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 41c | 59.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…b7a5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…2c3dbacked No | 57c | 35.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…771dbacked Yes | 44c | 34.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 57c | 30.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…8519backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ea…4b97backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…ea90backed Yes | 45c | 22.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed No | 56c | 21.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…64a6backed No | 57c | 20.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…eecebacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 57c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.