Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c7729f544957bf378abc70ea3d070dec9b63b81d164460a05bedfe72cbf4b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 67c | 14,837$9,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.16 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 65c | 4,015$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.1 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 2,885$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.37 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…90a7backed Yes | 23c | 2,025$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 1,896$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.04 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,413$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.06 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 1,288$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.09 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,133$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.99 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 1,083$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.85 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 33c | 871.92$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.95 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 725.84$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…905fbacked Yes | 35c | 714$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 698.75$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 571.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 31c | 345.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.99 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 318.39$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed No | 68c | 303.47$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 31c | 281$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 33c | 206$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 25c | 202.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…f756backed Yes | 33c | 175.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 60c | 162.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 138.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 34c | 117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 68c | 116.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 20c | 113.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 67c | 113.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 34c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 67c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 58c | 80.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 66c | 67.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed No | 67c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 33c | 60.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 59c | 44.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6974backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 36.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 79c | 32.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 70c | 22.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…e401backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.