Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4dec8671753cf772841d4985399292709a8f07fb5cb47b5022324c66ffc077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 4,118$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.83 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 2,215$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.36 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 2,103$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.49 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 1,933$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.84 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 1,563$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.47 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 1,275$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.7 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 766.06$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 588$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 440.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 44c | 225.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 43c | 204.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 158.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 45c | 157.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 26c | 142.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 43c | 140.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 48c | 115.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 104.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 66c | 103.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 102.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 54c | 64.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 45c | 63.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 44c | 59.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 44c | 46.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…185cbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…9c03backed No | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 58c | 37.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 46c | 29.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…1767backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc14…b213backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 43c | 25.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…7195backed Yes | 49c | 21.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 48c | 21.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.