Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad1b0b1410418ccd3448824dedd6f62fc8b1e02c07c823e672e66610c7dd2e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 4,290$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.22 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 2,938$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.16 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 2,135$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 1,612$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.86 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 26c | 1,281$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.05 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 985.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 977.19$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.49 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 805.75$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 771.07$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.21 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 363$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.6 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 78c | 306.01$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 192$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 35c | 162.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 107.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 37c | 99.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 60c | 93.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 74c | 35.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 72c | 35.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 74c | 29.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc14…b213backed No | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…1767backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.