Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb863aa161ee2d2e26f7103354098595754973ba9584eb7648c2da6da99a3b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 57c | 22,718$12,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,768.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 1,141$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.58 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 57c | 942.58$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.31 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 801$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 626$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.18 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 421.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.59 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 59c | 91.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 23c | 57.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…3536backed Yes | 60c | 40.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 43c | 36.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…fb26backed Yes | 60c | 21.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 59c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 59c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF end in a draw?No won
- Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.