Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a99c0102d519700e5d2c16617051dda27fa2cba38d7059d03182292f9c8d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,499.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 4,606$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.53 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 38c | 4,527$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.64 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.06 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 28c | 1,249$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.25 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 986.92$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.65 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 36c | 452.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.25 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 406.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 62c | 265.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 63c | 265.03$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 248.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 63c | 202.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 36c | 178.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 61c | 142$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 63c | 123$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 71c | 107.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 63c | 96.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…7600backed Yes | 11c | 95.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…ac67backed Yes | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 29c | 68.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…1b92backed Yes | 52c | 57.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…3c5bbacked No | 39c | 43.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 64c | 40.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d07…a1a4backed No | 39c | 39.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 68c | 22.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.