MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf3c225ae6a3ada74fa034ce1cd585a091b1f198fb4126923a6cdb0b5aebaecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 10,013$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 6,692$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 4,268$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 3,633$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.68 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 2,024$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,333$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.81 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…7fdcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 1,077$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 1,003$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 910.95$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.35 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 823.88$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 720.92$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.93 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 684.69$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 679.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.32 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 522.95$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.03 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 80c | 506.23$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 505.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.36 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 302.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 263.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 249.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 232$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 207.62$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 188.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 174.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 160.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 143.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 140.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 135.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 129.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 127.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 126.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 98.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…ef8bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 86.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 85.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 71.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 69.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 55.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 54.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 54.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 51.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 49.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 48.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 45.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 43.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…2607backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 35.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 30.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 30.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 29.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 29.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 25.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 21.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 20.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 19.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.