MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3472d63d7e1d7c595e45f5da1b367e0de9d369e3f87e8c05aaf5a7d03d4e9b14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 4,976$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.35 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 4,500$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 4,216$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.32 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 2,033$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 1,602$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 1,457$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 1,454$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 811$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 679$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 521.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 519$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 359$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 271.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 216.36$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 203.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 189$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…d536backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 153.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 148$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 145.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 129.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 89.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 72.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 72.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 67.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…4c72backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 28.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.