MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a2c54f2baee2d8dba04761bf14a5edfaa748e22dde0a28d17f46720d8cb2ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 1,668$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 10c | 1,105$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 26c | 1,037$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 50c | 884.58$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.29 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 59c | 778.31$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 9c | 521.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 58c | 510$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 50c | 503.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 475.27$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 459.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 327.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 10c | 306$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 65c | 296.08$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 58c | 277$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 31c | 245.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 31c | 194$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 27c | 183.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 155.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 135.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 121.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 80c | 120.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 107.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…7019backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Under | 75c | 81.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 50c | 52.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…2282backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 49c | 42.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 33c | 41.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…5085backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 29.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Under | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…6068backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…6d36backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 78c | 18.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.