Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a9c4af93021b458338b6f562226ca7f32b99de2deee653ef46e87801764697f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Bodø/Glimtof Juventus FC, FK Bodø/Glimt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 79c | 1,999$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Juventus FC | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Juventus FC | 25c | 800$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 77c | 578.71$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 80c | 576.42$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 77c | 470.76$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6e0cbacked Juventus FC | 25c | 201.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Juventus FC | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked Juventus FC | 29c | 189.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Juventus FC | 22c | 179.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Juventus FC | 23c | 164$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Juventus FC | 21c | 129.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Juventus FC | 23c | 120.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Juventus FC | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Juventus FC | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Juventus FC | 23c | 47.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Juventus FC | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 76c | 39.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…fc02backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.