South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27dcbf24b1434cd18acd41b73115aec79e90ae210ac4cced8c0cba2f48ee9a63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 1,637$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 26c | 1,343$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.79 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 1,279$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.6 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 973.71$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 821.23$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 31c | 610.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 23c | 304.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 211.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 72c | 198.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 59c | 195.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 184.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 23c | 177.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 174.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 79c | 168.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 71c | 138.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 22c | 129.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 39c | 122.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Under | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 31c | 62.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 60.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 55.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 30c | 48.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 60c | 47.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Over | 48c | 39.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 43c | 31.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 63c | 31.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Under | 62c | 30.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 54c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 46c | 27.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed Under | 61c | 25.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 61c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 70c | 14.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.