TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No58c2,100$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.9932765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1511155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Yes42c1,191$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No62c1,189$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.861,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No59c1,158$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes29c1,110$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1614445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes41c1,026$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42226438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Yes42c716.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No66c652.18$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.111,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No62c594.88$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.2872247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No69c580.07$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9851250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No57c499.98$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9912875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c487.81$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.162,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No70c466.87$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.691,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5729…b054backed Yes27c364.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237640.8%31 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked Yes38c259.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Yes41c245$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.459154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747540%30 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No68c183$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.192,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes30c164.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes27c155.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.311,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No59c149.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4915177.5%117 W · 34 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes41c134.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5531435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No70c133.69$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6737971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes43c117.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed No60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No62c86.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4443460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No57c82.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6246464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No63c63.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6323858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c50.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111239.3%44 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No73c46.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.589858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41c5…0b24backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.582,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.333847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8647…d870backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No56c24.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8721858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x078e…115dbacked Yes47c21.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No75c17.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.312,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.