Fifa International · resolved market
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89d37d65d325eded5038301cb6643fca4f98970351d7a0ee436f8cb593d17ced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 67c | 5,059$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.73 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 65c | 2,323$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.69 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Yes | 29c | 1,629$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.76 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,430$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 66c | 1,040$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.06 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 66c | 1,016$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.3 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes | 34c | 819.96$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.17 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 29c | 752$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.41 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 70c | 741.81$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.94 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 34c | 727.21$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.73 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 36c | 549.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.31 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 529$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.4 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 35c | 522.86$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.86 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 72c | 489.74$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.61 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 70c | 385$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.64 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed No | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 239.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 237.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7d…058fbacked No | 63c | 203.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 34c | 147.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ede…5212backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…4fd8backed Yes | 35c | 127.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 32c | 119$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 27c | 115.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 111.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 71c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f6…2f2ebacked No | 67c | 79.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 31c | 73.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 34c | 58.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Yes | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 269 | 46.8%126 W · 143 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…03e5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…216dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 65c | 40.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…ffdebacked Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 65c | 30.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Yes | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 27.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 39c | 26.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 75c | 20.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsthis page
- Amadou Onana: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 1+ assistsNo won
- Chris Wood: 1+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 2+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maxim De Cuyper: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Raskin: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsYes won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ assistsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.