Fifa International · resolved market
Youri Tielemans: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bce49769f681f2f5a4725baa2950939a87aaf2d844dc77f3edc1427615eb514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes | 20c | 938.16$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 27c | 377.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 79c | 271.19$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 79c | 201.22$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 79c | 172.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 165.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 17c | 115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 76c | 89.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 77c | 78.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 77c | 63.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 45.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ assiststhis page
- Amadou Onana: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 1+ assistsNo won
- Chris Wood: 1+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 2+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maxim De Cuyper: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Raskin: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsYes won
- Youri Tielemans: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.