TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

FC Metz vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Under45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.995947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over55c4,200$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c2,891$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.21,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc270…a462backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c990.18$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.2226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over53c980$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.712147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over23c827.44$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.366132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over56c600.42$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over56c596.97$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over55c491.95$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under48c483.82$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.591464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under44c443.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.638444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c419.27$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.031,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over52c417.02$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2171729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd67…bb43backed Over56c414.29$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over17c400.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.335635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2243122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Under44c399.97$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over52c331$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.129355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c299.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under44c299.33$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.634151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over40c272.93$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.365151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c272.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7226550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Under45c221.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under44c209.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.29159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c183.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over56c175$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.229747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under44c154$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.244459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under44c149.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8423260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c135$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.617756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6250…8707backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under44c115$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.411556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over40c115$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.92532%8 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.49158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under44c89.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb47e…8a93backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over56c80.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.68355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.610653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.68355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.68755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.610556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.69355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under44c59.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.597452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under44c59.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5910952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under44c59.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.599354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over24c58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.082962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254719.1%9 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252475%18 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Under47c43.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+78.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under48c43.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.562429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over53c41.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Under46c39.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.551216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over56c37.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over56c35.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over51c30.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7604…f7cdbacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under44c26.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.945851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Under77c25.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99df…b59abacked Under71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed Over52c24.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61010%1 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick54cpaid-79.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Over55c23.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over54c20.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.246352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over55c20.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.062458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4725…619bbacked Under64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.