MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd378bf3d29449e95da5f1206e7311998a19d255656dea6a938bab3b48949baa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Diamondbacks, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Reds | 49c | 25,000$12,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,782.52 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 23,345$11,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,905.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 0c | 16,549$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 49c | 14,442$7,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,365.53 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 8,886$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.57 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 8,349$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.97 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Diamondbacks | 1c | 6,537$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 6,281$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 13c | 5,883$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.88 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 1c | 4,256$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 50c | 3,281$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.56 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 0c | 3,150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 51c | 2,942$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.01 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Reds | 50c | 2,555$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.5 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Diamondbacks | 3c | 2,491$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 79c | 2,152$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Reds | 47c | 1,993$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.29 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,751$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.35 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,528$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 1,446$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 11c | 1,212$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 54c | 1,151$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.72 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,081$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 13c | 1,007$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 962.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 906$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Reds | 47c | 903$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 472.95$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Diamondbacks | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 374.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 343$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 336.45$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 332.75$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 15c | 288$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 253$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 47c | 250$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 50c | 199.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 194$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…aab9backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Reds | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e34…8b77backed Reds | 50c | 108.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8459…1b3cbacked Reds | 50c | 107.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51d…fcb3backed Reds | 50c | 105.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f44…d2dfbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 104.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…b669backed Reds | 50c | 102.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…81ebbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 101.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…f702backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 101.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…7e94backed Reds | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Reds | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…d6d8backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 99.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b2…8608backed Reds | 50c | 99.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ed…4133backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 99.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…22d7backed Reds | 50c | 99.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 80c | 99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…06b7backed Reds | 50c | 97.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 96.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…c155backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 95.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…391dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 94.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85e…b18fbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 94.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…ad67backed Reds | 51c | 92.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…0b30backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 91.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…05f5backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 91.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…ac20backed Reds | 51c | 90.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…625ebacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 88.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…250fbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 88.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7a…cb41backed Reds | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…afc9backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 87.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Reds | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…021cbacked Reds | 50c | 76.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…d102backed Reds | 50c | 73.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Reds | 48c | 52.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 50c | 37.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Reds | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.