MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad773e691ab5c0be12603ed612ec378af03c54b09041f00a363d40d7a9a0f62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Diamondbacks, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 20,131$10,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,468.32 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.95 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…aaafbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…7c98backed Reds | 49c | 9,998$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 48c | 9,832$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Reds | 37c | 9,524$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 8,906$5,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Reds | 48c | 7,046$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.56 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Reds | 59c | 6,830$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.69 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Reds | 49c | 6,179$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.12 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Reds | 48c | 4,820$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.62 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Reds | 45c | 2,400$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Reds | 43c | 2,285$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.28 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 49c | 2,065$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.93 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Reds | 48c | 1,993$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.36 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,958$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 48c | 1,850$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,665$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 50c | 1,613$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Reds | 48c | 1,528$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.66 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 48c | 1,360$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.29 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 48c | 1,023$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.14 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 896.77$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 3c | 855$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.35 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 740.3$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 590.05$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 44c | 578.45$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.37 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 48c | 575.88$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Reds | 48c | 549.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 484.96$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.33 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 458$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 450$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.14 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 442.44$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 430$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.96 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Reds | 5c | 430$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 400.01$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 390.65$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Reds | 67c | 371.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 48c | 307.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.95 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 292.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 46c | 278.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Reds | 48c | 239.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Reds | 42c | 238.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Diamondbacks | 9c | 232.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 48c | 224.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 201.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Reds | 58c | 200.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Reds | 51c | 199.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 186.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 183.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Reds | 51c | 181$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Reds | 47c | 173.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…e353backed Reds | 49c | 140.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…2461backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 128.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…7881backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 125.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…07fabacked Reds | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 46c | 117.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Reds | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…0609backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…2117backed Reds | 49c | 115.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Reds | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…3bfebacked Reds | 48c | 108.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc2…3c8dbacked Reds | 48c | 107.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…651abacked Reds | 49c | 106.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b41…88cabacked Reds | 49c | 105.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 39c | 105.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…7a8bbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 103.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…719fbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 102.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Reds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…b4bbbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 101.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…a0ddbacked Reds | 49c | 101.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d2…64debacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0005…ad99backed Reds | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…29b5backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 100.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…b645backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 100.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Reds | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Reds | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.