MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d7eb71ed96f7e6309f6799a58bba0ff181e34f5cfde88f787fdf88799a75c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Cardinals | 49c | 3,431$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.01 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.08 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 28c | 2,587$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.9 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 31c | 2,226$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Cardinals | 41c | 2,214$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.87 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,998$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.06 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Cardinals | 31c | 1,615$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 67c | 1,571$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.26 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,277$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.24 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Cardinals | 41c | 1,134$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cardinals | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jays | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cardinals | 50c | 981$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.5 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 976.93$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.93 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Cardinals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 47c | 954.54$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.68 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 12c | 868.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 848.42$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.02 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blue Jays | 76c | 837.24$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cardinals | 47c | 749.98$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 12c | 669$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 15c | 640$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cardinals | 6c | 570.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Cardinals | 5c | 567.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 60c | 564.6$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 492.54$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays | 75c | 442.84$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 417.74$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Blue Jays | 51c | 412$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 53c | 407.02$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cardinals | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 3c | 399.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Cardinals | 12c | 395.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cardinals | 54c | 380$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Blue Jays | 48c | 342.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cardinals | 15c | 333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Blue Jays | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 53c | 237.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Cardinals | 22c | 225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 52c | 203$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Cardinals | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Blue Jays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cardinals | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Blue Jays | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 198.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…cbccbacked Cardinals | 11c | 170.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Cardinals | 26c | 165.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Cardinals | 24c | 155.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blue Jays | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cardinals | 10c | 146.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Cardinals | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Blue Jays | 47c | 107.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cardinals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Blue Jays | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Cardinals | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 40c | 99.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Cardinals | 30c | 96.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cardinals | 26c | 95.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 13c | 92.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Cardinals | 52c | 87.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 87.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 20c | 83.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 74.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…1a01backed Blue Jays | 49c | 63.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04d…48f5backed Cardinals | 53c | 62.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…5ac2backed Blue Jays | 49c | 61.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 61.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…47e9backed Cardinals | 52c | 60.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Cardinals | 52c | 56.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Cardinals | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cardinals | 20c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cardinals | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…7c96backed Cardinals | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Cardinals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Cardinals | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Blue Jays | 58c | 37.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdd…4fccbacked Cardinals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 34.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cardinals | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Cardinals | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.