Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64bcc940c3581d47586d7cea2d242936349edfb2228ef51aa850a38359c5e22c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 3,114$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.55 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 2,574$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.23 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Over | 49c | 1,507$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.09 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 1,424$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.63 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 499.92$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.87 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Over | 49c | 485.14$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.94 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 4c | 483.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 47c | 480.14$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.47 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 51c | 302.05$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 301.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 48c | 249.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Under | 47c | 205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 69c | 198.04$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 59c | 121.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 66c | 115.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Over | 50c | 101$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 53c | 83.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 38c | 78.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 55.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 47c | 53.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 47c | 49.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 51c | 48.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 37c | 41.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 50c | 38.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 28c | 37.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 44c | 34.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Over | 50c | 34.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7b…332dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.